{
 "updated": "2026-09-04 21:00 UTC",
 "methodology": "Every published Kronos prediction (open-source K-line foundation model, run daily on this site) is scored at its target date: was the direction right, and how large was the return error? One prediction per asset and day; misses included. Kronos is UNVALIDATED here until this record proves otherwise \u2014 treat its column as a model opinion, not a signal.",
 "counting_since": "2026-07-28",
 "categories": {
  "commodities": {
   "n": 189,
   "direction_hit_rate_pct": 43.9,
   "avg_abs_error_pct": 5.66,
   "avg_predicted_pct": -0.36,
   "avg_realized_pct": 2.01,
   "n_orders": 175,
   "fill_rate_pct": 68.6,
   "n_filled": 120,
   "win_rate_after_fill_pct": 50.0,
   "avg_R_gross": 0.208,
   "sum_R_gross": 24.93
  },
  "crypto": {
   "n": 294,
   "direction_hit_rate_pct": 54.4,
   "avg_abs_error_pct": 8.86,
   "avg_predicted_pct": -1.56,
   "avg_realized_pct": 5.19,
   "n_orders": 249,
   "fill_rate_pct": 59.8,
   "n_filled": 149,
   "win_rate_after_fill_pct": 32.2,
   "avg_R_gross": -0.262,
   "sum_R_gross": -38.97
  },
  "equity": {
   "n": 729,
   "direction_hit_rate_pct": 52.8,
   "avg_abs_error_pct": 4.27,
   "avg_predicted_pct": -0.03,
   "avg_realized_pct": 1.19,
   "n_orders": 672,
   "fill_rate_pct": 49.0,
   "n_filled": 329,
   "win_rate_after_fill_pct": 32.2,
   "avg_R_gross": -0.03,
   "sum_R_gross": -9.88
  },
  "forex": {
   "n": 398,
   "direction_hit_rate_pct": 50.8,
   "avg_abs_error_pct": 0.82,
   "avg_predicted_pct": 0.12,
   "avg_realized_pct": 0.22,
   "n_orders": 367,
   "fill_rate_pct": 52.0,
   "n_filled": 191,
   "win_rate_after_fill_pct": 29.3,
   "avg_R_gross": -0.099,
   "sum_R_gross": -18.87
  },
  "overall": {
   "n": 1610,
   "direction_hit_rate_pct": 51.6,
   "avg_abs_error_pct": 4.42,
   "avg_predicted_pct": -0.31,
   "avg_realized_pct": 1.78,
   "n_orders": 1463,
   "fill_rate_pct": 53.9,
   "n_filled": 789,
   "win_rate_after_fill_pct": 34.2,
   "avg_R_gross": -0.054,
   "sum_R_gross": -42.78
  }
 }
}